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Recent Articles

July 12, 2022
Look For This Key Inflection Point in the Markets

It’s make-or-break time for crude oil.

Last month, the Fed’s 75 basis point hike set off a cascade of deleveraging in commodity assets.

For example, here’s a chart of copper:

Copper Chart

Copper Chart

The 75 bps hike, combined with Chinese

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July 12, 2022
One Key Ratio For Calling the Bottom

A quick way to see if a sector is mounting a turnaround is to compare it to the price of the broad market.
For example… here’s a look at ARKK (to represent tech growth stocks that don’t turn a profit) …

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July 11, 2022
Weekly Market Primer: Are the Markets Normalizing?

Let’s ignore the indices for a moment and simply consider “risk.”

This year has, in my opinion, been the primary driver behind stock market volatility. 

There was money in strategies with a ton of negative convexity against them upon a

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July 11, 2022
Weekly Watchlist: Commodities and “Blue Moon” Trades

Earthstone Energy (ESTE)

ESTE Chart
ESTE Chart

Another dip buy in an energy company.

(Yes, we’ve already picked one up, but you must be an Insiders Exposed member to see the writeup! Learn how to join here.)

This time, it’s …

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July 8, 2022
Will the Fed Overshoot With Their Rate Hikes?

Recently, I showed you how we are starting to see stress in the European financial system.

Now, I’ll take you further down the rabbit hole to discuss the Fed’s potential risk of overshooting.

To illustrate: Have you ever seen someone

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July 7, 2022
The “Smoke” That Signals An Economic Crisis

So far, this market has been pretty “vanilla.” 

A couple scary moves, constant liquidations into any pops, and then a grindhouse near the lows.

I can view this as a very hard landing after some aggressive spending post-pandemic, and the

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